REAL ESTATE MARKET REPORT MUNICH 2026/I

DYNAMIC SUPPLY AND DEMAND

Munich's residential real estate market

The market for residential real estate in Munich will be dynamic in 2025. A significant increase in supply meets increased willingness to buy, while higher financing requirements are influencing purchasing decisions. In this environment, location, features and realistic price expectations are becoming increasingly important.

The most important points at a glance:

  • Purchase market: Significant increase in supply coupled with high demand; prices largely stable, slightly declining in individual segments. Over 65% of buyers were owner-occupiers or buying for relatives.
  • Rental market (furnished): Inconsistent demand in the 4th quarter, rising supply of 1- and 2-bedroom apartments; high-quality furnishings continue to gain in importance.
  • Building permits: Almost halved in the city of Munich (-48%), some strong growth in the surrounding areas - particularly in Rosenheim, Ebersberg and Miesbach.
  • Interest rates & financing: Mortgage interest rates remain a key factor; interest rates increased slightly at the end of the year.
  • General conditions: Robust labor market, rising population and high start-up momentum are supporting demand, while regulation and low new construction activity are limiting supply.

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Rental market for furnished apartments

Demand for furnished apartments and houses developed differently in the 4th quarter. Subdued demand in November contrasted with increased demand in December. The trend in January was similar to the previous year.
As in previous quarters, apartments and 2-room apartments were by far the most sought-after categories.

Supply development compared to the beginning of the quarter (Q4)
OFFER DEVELOPMENT COMPARED TO THE BEGINNING OF THE QUARTER (Q4)
AS OF THE REPORTING DATE 13.01.2026

The most sought-after price range for 1-bedroom apartments is €1,100 to €1,500 and for 2-bedroom apartments €1,700 to €2,300 (each including all utilities, electricity and internet). Houses were predominantly rented for €3,500 to €5,000 (plus utility costs). More luxurious properties and villas achieved rents of up to €15,000. The trend is towards increasingly well-equipped properties.
In 2025 as a whole, Mr. Lodge assisted over 11,000 prospective tenants (-3.5%) and successfully brokered over 2,100 furnished apartments and houses. There were 13% fewer new apartments on offer, reflecting the tightening housing market.
For 2026, we expect demand to be slightly higher than in the previous year.

Purchase market apartments and houses

The entire year and the 4th quarter were characterized by a large and significantly increased supply on the Munich market. On the other hand, events were characterized by a high willingness to buy throughout the year. The right location, furnishings and an attractive purchase price were key factors in the willingness to buy. For Mr. Lodge, turnover in the sales area increased by 42%. The 4th quarter was also very dynamic. Over 65% of buyers were owner-occupiers or buying for relatives.

The fall report of the Munich appraisal committee reports a stagnation to slight decline in prices for condominiums, semi-detached houses and terraced houses for the 1st to 3rd quarter (Q4 is not yet available). In the market for detached, semi-detached and terraced houses as well as small condominium complexes, 11% more transactions were registered. Prices for individual residential building plots fell by 16% compared to the standard land values as at 01.01.2024.

REAL ESTATE TYPE (in average, good residential areas) APPROXIMATE PRICE
Semi-detached house €1,105,000
Terraced corner houses €1,025,000
Mid-terraced houses €880,000

Immoscout is reporting rising prices for the first time since 2020 in all top 8 cities at the end of the year, with moderate growth of 0.8% for Munich. Demand would shift back to the cities.

Tightening of the rent freeze and further regulations:

The German government's planned tightening of tenancy law and further regulation of the rent freeze will not support investment in rental apartments and the purchase of real estate for retirement.

Purchase price development Munich apartments
Purchase price development Munich apartments
Excluding capital investments and new construction

Offer real estate for sale

Supply of properties for sale declines
Compared to the previous quarter and the previous year, the increase in supply and the supply of apartments, houses and land for sale in Munich and almost all districts has decreased. In the districts of Dachau, Ebersberg and Miesbach, the supply of apartments is down on the previous year.

RESIDENTS 13.01.2025 12.01.2026 Change in %
München 3094 3648 17,9%
Landkreis München 542 656 21,0%
Fürstenfeldbruck district 305 360 15.0%
Dachau district 178 163 -8.4%
LK Ebersberg 261 213 -18.4%
LK Starnberg 188 213 13.3%
LK Bad Tölz / Wolfratshausen 139 170 22.3%
LK Miesbach 243 227 -6.6%
HÄUSER 13.01.2025 12.01.2026 Change in %
München 776 921 18,7%
Landkreis München 538 619 15,1%
Fürstenfeldbruck district 376 518 23.7%
Dachau district 318 348 9.4%
LK Ebersberg 242 330 36.4%
LK Starnberg 338 466 37.9%
LK Bad Tölz / Wolfratshausen 180 196 8.9%
LK Miesbach 252 289 14.7%
GRUNDSTÜCKE 13.01.2025 12.01.2026 Change in %
Munich 270 279 3.3%
Munich district 206 222 7.8%
Fürstenfeldbruck district 149 130 -12.7%
Dachau district 93 117 25.8%
LK Ebersberg 75 71 -5.3%
LK Starnberg 157 185 17.8%
LK Bad Tölz / Wolfratshausen 51 55 7.8%
LK Miesbach 88 103 17.0%

BUILDING PERMITS

In the city of Munich, building permits for apartments have almost halved. As of November 30, only 4,537 apartments were approved, which corresponds to a decline of 48% compared to the previous year. There was a very positive trend in some districts. Ebersberg +69%, Miesbach and Rosenheim with +84% each. The district of Rosenheim stands out in particular with 1,115 approved apartments.

Quelle: Bayerisches Landesamt für Statistik
CONSTRUCTION APPROVAL APARTMENTS 01.01.-31.12.2024 01.01.-31.12.2025 Change in %
München 9357 4820 -48%
Munich district 1496 1649 10%
Bad Tölz district 254 252 -1%
Dachau district 418 473 13%
LK Ebersberg 231 390 69%
LK Freising 569 646 14%
LK Erding 798 523 -34%
LK Fürstenfeldbruck 307 508 65%
LK Miesbach 170 313 84%
LK Starnberg 406 330 -19%
LK Rosenheim 697 1115 84%
  14613 11019 -25%

POPULATION DEVELOPMENT

The population increased by a total of 9,542 people (1,613,399 main residents (1,603,857 at the beginning of the year)) over the course of the year to the end of November. The number of households increased by 5,340 (868,674 compared to 863,334). For 2025, the city of Munich reported a birth surplus of +2,860 and an inflow balance of +4,825. Overall, however, the inflow decreased significantly and the outflow increased.

1,613,399 main residents plus 9,542 since January 2025
868,674 private households plus 5,340 households since January 2025

LABOR MARKET CITY OF MUNICH

Labor market more robust than in other regions:

The Federal Employment Agency reports almost unchanged unemployment (rate 5%) in the Munich agency district in December 2025. Compared to the previous year, however, it has risen significantly by 9.4%. Registered jobs are 10.8% below the previous year. The number of employees subject to social insurance contributions rose to 1,242,026 (+0.5%). The agency comments: Although the slight increase in unemployment in December is within the usual seasonal range, the number of unemployed is still higher than it has been for many years, while at the same time there are fewer vacancies available. The number of vacancies on Stepstone (09.01.2026) is at the same level as last year.

55.981<br /> people are looking for a job in the city of Munich
5.3% Unemployment rate
+9.4% increase in the unemployment rate compared to the previous year

INFLATION

The inflation rate in Germany is expected to be +1.8% in December 2025. It is measured as the change in the consumer price index (CPI) compared to the same month of the previous year. According to the Federal Statistical Office (Destatis), consumer prices will remain unchanged compared to November 2025 (0.0%) based on the results available to date. The annual average inflation rate for 2025 is expected to be +2.2%. The inflation rate excluding food and energy, often referred to as core inflation, is expected to be +2.4% in December 2025.

Consumer price index
CONSUMER PRICE INDEX
CHANGE COMPARED TO THE SAME MONTH OF THE PREVIOUS YEAR IN %, BASE YEAR 2020 = 100

INTEREST RATE DEVELOPMENT

The development of mortgage interest rates remains a key factor in purchasing decisions on the real estate market. Current assessments from the financing sector indicate that the scope for further falls in interest rates is limited and the risk of rising financing costs is increasing. "Construction financing has hardly any room to fall and is tending to become more expensive. In view of the forecasts, we advise against speculating on falling interest rates - the risk of rising costs currently clearly outweighs this. If you can buy and have found the right property, you should establish the facts now. Professional advice will help you to realistically calculate your budget and optimally incorporate funding opportunities into the financing. Good advice will be a key factor in 2026," predicts Miriam Mohr, Chief Sales Officer of the Interhyp Group, in December 2025.

Quelle: Interhyp, 2% Tilgung, 50% Eigenkapital
Maturity Oct'12 Oct'16 May'19 July'21 July'22 May'23 Aug'24 May'25 Jan'26
5 Jahre 1,7% 0,7% 0,7% 0,6% 2,7% 3,7% 3,1% 3,0% 3,2%
10 Jahre 2,4% 0,9% 0,8% 0,6% 2,9% 3,3% 3,0% 2,8% 3,3%
15 Jahre 2,9% 1,3% 1,2% 0,9% 3,1% 3,6% 3,3% 3,0% 3,7%
20 Jahre     1,5% 1,1% 3,4% 3,8% 3,4% 3,2% 3,9%

OUTLOOK

We expect the Munich residential real estate market to develop positively in 2026, provided that the German government does not hamper investment by introducing new regulations and tightening rental law. Limited new construction activity, economic strength and continued immigration are generally supporting demand. Sound market analysis and professional advice are becoming increasingly important.

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